Analyst forecast 2025 GGR growth of 8.4 per cent year-on-year.
Macau.- Seaport Research Partners has forecast that Macau’s gross gaming revenue (GGR) could rise by 13 per cent year-on-year in October, exceeding the historical average. Analyst Vitaly Umansky said October would contributed to growth of 12.4 per cent in the last quarter. He forecasts total 2025 GGR growth of 8.4 per cent year-on-year.
“Growth should be driven by increased marketing and, importantly, continued ease of money outflows,” Umansky said. “Along with robust visa issuance, continued entertainment events will further help support demand. A trade deal between the US and China is likely to further boost consumer confidence and willingness to spend and travel to Macau, and any improvement in China consumer confidence would help drive overnight base mass recovery,” he added.
The analyst wrote “Our growth assumptions are driven by consumer confidence in China rising and the upper middle class base mass customers deploy their spending power while the wealthier premium segment continues to perform as well. The key growth driver however remains liquidity; as long as the liquidity channels remain open, Macau will continue to meet gaming demand (high-end demand in particular).”
The Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau (DICJ) has reported that Macau’s gross gaming revenue (GGR) was MOP18.3bn (US$2.27bn) in September, an increase of 6 per cent in year-on-year terms, but 17.5 per cent behind August, when GGR reached MOP22.16bn (US$2.77bn), the highest monthly total of 2025 so far. Casino operations in September were disrupted by Super Typhoon Ragasa.
Cumulatively, Macau’s GGR for the first nine months of 2025 was MOP181.3bn (US$22.5bn), up 7.1 per cent year-on-year. The figure was 17.7 per cent below pre-pandemic levels (MOP220.2bn / US$27.4bn). Looking ahead, analysts have high expectations for this year’s October Golden Week holiday period.
Analyst forecast 2025 GGR growth of 8.4 per cent year-on-year. Macau.- Seaport Research Partners has forecast that Macau’s gross gaming revenue (GGR) could rise by 13 per cent year-on-year in…
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